Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 9.632617 10.707738 11.864263 13.202646 14.711058 16.361023 18.305935
2025-07-13 8.233701 9.731976 11.456743 13.596473 16.189971 19.244445 23.133036
2025-07-20 7.180164 8.956477 11.127539 13.994108 17.705799 22.384978 28.786569
2025-07-27 6.260409 8.193129 10.685632 14.168083 18.959247 25.393916 34.816195
2025-08-03 5.407956 7.385110 10.059881 13.992418 19.710371 27.851267 40.553769
2025-08-10 4.709074 6.681374 9.467425 13.758593 20.324238 30.194451 46.546791
2025-08-17 4.140583 6.081806 8.933945 13.518628 20.872721 32.505753 52.905334
2025-08-24 3.693331 5.600275 8.505596 13.365186 21.513780 35.040908 60.089803
2025-08-31 3.339892 5.216121 8.172954 13.306873 22.284712 37.891699 68.353180
2025-09-07 3.110693 4.998952 8.074093 13.612158 23.706372 42.077886 79.883763
2025-09-14 2.840179 4.681242 7.768384 13.513060 24.382727 45.008936 89.570880
2025-09-21 2.573065 4.338979 7.379471 13.208667 24.623155 47.135566 98.032331
2025-09-28 2.352248 4.058645 7.075982 13.038353 25.129392 49.941032 108.741966
2025-10-05 2.235403 3.951069 7.071162 13.437457 26.839060 55.539227 127.128753
2025-10-12 2.128906 3.850642 7.067377 13.837566 28.617478 61.623643 148.242903
2025-10-19 2.005908 3.705882 6.961914 14.014731 29.943592 66.945570 168.851575
2025-10-26 1.857806 3.497481 6.708352 13.844820 30.463607 70.474205 185.646279
2025-11-02 1.719367 3.294497 6.443885 13.616203 30.811531 73.651529 202.342841
2025-11-09 1.594426 3.106729 6.191044 13.380664 31.106571 76.755716 219.716433
2025-11-16 1.489305 2.949782 5.986772 13.230099 31.589341 80.453466 240.010698
2025-11-23 1.401797 2.821543 5.830920 13.173222 32.303469 84.930053 264.186893
2025-11-30 1.349927 2.764325 5.824532 13.475647 34.014392 92.586969 301.580035
2025-12-07 1.272408 2.644219 5.664949 13.378032 34.624875 97.146914 329.521744